Sell Your House Before The Holidays

As you look ahead to the winter season, you’re likely making plans and thinking about what you want to achieve before the year ends. One of those key decision points could be whether or not you want to move this year. If the location or size of your current home no longer meets your needs, finding a house that better suits your lifestyle may be a top priority for you. But with today’s cooling housing market, is it really a good time to sell your house, or should you wait?
If you’re ready to make your decision, here are three reasons you may want to consider selling before the holidays.
1. Get One Step Ahead of Other Sellers
Typically, in the residential real estate market, homeowners are less likely to list their houses toward the end of the year. That’s because people get busy around the holidays and deprioritize selling their house until the start of the new year when their schedules and social calendars calm down.
Selling now, while other homeowners may hold off until after the holidays, can help your house stand out. Start the process with a real estate professional today so you can get your house on the market and get ahead of your competition.
2. Get in Front of Serious Buyers This Season
Even though housing supply has increased this year as buyer demand has moderated, it’s still low overall. That means there aren’t enough homes on the market today, especially as the millennial generation reaches their peak homebuying years. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:
“While not the frenzy of 2021, the largest living generation, the Millennials, will continue to age into their prime home-buying years, creating a demographic tailwind for the housing market.”
Serious buyers will still be looking this winter and your house may be exactly what they’re searching for. If you work with an agent to list your house now, you’ll be able to get in front of the eager buyers who are hoping to make a move before the year ends.
3. Seize a Great Chance To Move Up
Don’t forget, today’s homeowners have record amounts of equity. According to CoreLogic, the average amount of equity per mortgage holder has climbed to almost $300,000. That’s an all-time high. That means the equity you have in your house right now could cover some, if not all, of a down payment on the home of your dreams.
And as you weigh the reasons to sell before winter, don’t lose sight of why you’re thinking about moving in the first place. Maybe it’s time to buy a house that’s in a better location for you, has the space you and your loved ones have been craving, or simply gives you that sense of home. A trusted real estate advisor can help you determine how much home equity you have and how you can use it to achieve your goal of making a move.
Bottom Line
If you’re thinking about selling your house so you can find a home that better suits your needs, don’t delay your plans. Work with a local real estate professional to accomplish your goals before winter.
3 Trends That Are Good News for Today’s Homebuyers

While higher mortgage rates are creating affordability challenges for homebuyers this year, there is some good news for those people still looking to buy a home.
As the market has cooled this year, some of the intensity buyers faced during the peak frenzy of the pandemic has cooled too. Here are just a few trends that may benefit you when you go to buy a home today.
1. More Homes To Choose from
During the pandemic, housing supply hit a record low at the same time buyer demand skyrocketed. This combination made it difficult to find a home because there just weren’t enough to meet buyer demand. According to Calculated Risk, the supply of homes for sale increased by 39.5% for the week ending October 28 compared to the same week last year.
Even though it’s still a sellers’ market and supply is still lower than more normal levels, you have more to choose from in your home search. That makes finding your dream home a bit less difficult.
2. Bidding Wars Have Eased
One of the top stories in real estate over the past two years was the intensity and frequency of bidding wars. But today, things are different. With more options, you’ll likely see less competition from other buyers looking for homes. According to the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the average number of offers on recently sold homes has declined. This September, the average was 2.5 offers per sale. In contrast, last September, the average was 3.7 offers per sale.
If you tried to buy a house over the past two years, you probably experienced the bidding war frenzy firsthand and may have been outbid on several homes along the way. Now you have a chance to jump back into the market and enjoy searching for a home with less competition.
3. More Negotiation Power
And when you have less competition, you also have more negotiating power as a buyer. Over the last two years, more buyers were willing to skip important steps in the homebuying process, like the appraisal or inspection, to try to win a bidding war. But the latest data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) shows the percentage of buyers waiving those contingencies is going down.
As a buyer, this is good news. The appraisal and the inspection give you important information about the value and condition of the home you’re buying. And if something turns up in the inspection, you have more power today to renegotiate with the seller.
A survey from realtor.com confirms more sellers are accepting offers that include contingencies today. According to that report, 95% of sellers said buyers requested a home inspection, and 67% negotiated with buyers on repairs as a result of the inspection findings.
Bottom Line
While buyers still face challenges today, they’re not necessarily the same ones you may have been up against just a year or so ago. If you were outbid or had trouble finding a home in the past, now may be the moment you’ve been waiting for. Partner with a local real estate professional to start the homebuying process today.
3 Graphs Showing Why Today’s Housing Market Isn’t Like 2008

With all the headlines and talk in the media about the shift in the housing market, you might be thinking this is a housing bubble. It’s only natural for those thoughts to creep in that make you think it could be a repeat of what took place in 2008. But the good news is, there’s concrete data to show why this is nothing like the last time.
There’s Still a Shortage of Homes on the Market Today, Not a Surplus
For historical context, there were too many homes for sale during the housing crisis (many of which were short sales and foreclosures), and that caused prices to fall dramatically. Supply has increased since the start of this year, but there’s still a shortage of inventory available overall, primarily due to almost 15 years of underbuilding homes.
The graph below uses data from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) to show how the months’ supply of homes available now compares to the crash. Today, unsold inventory sits at just a 3.2-months’ supply at the current sales pace, which is significantly lower than the last time. There just isn’t enough inventory on the market for home prices to come crashing down like they did last time, even though some overheated markets may experience slight declines.
Mortgage Standards Were Much More Relaxed Back Then
During the lead-up to the housing crisis, it was much easier to get a home loan than it is today. Running up to 2006, banks were creating artificial demand by lowering lending standards and making it easy for just about anyone to qualify for a home loan or refinance their current home.
Back then, lending institutions took on much greater risk in both the person and the mortgage products offered. That led to mass defaults, foreclosures, and falling prices. Today, things are different, and purchasers face much higher standards from mortgage companies.
The graph below uses Mortgage Credit Availability Index (MCAI) data from the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) to help tell this story. In that index, the higher the number, the easier it is to get a mortgage. The lower the number, the harder it is. In the latest report, the index fell by 5.4%, indicating standards are tightening.
This graph also shows just how different things are today compared to the spike in credit availability leading up to the crash. Tighter lending standards over the past 14 years have helped prevent a scenario that would lead to a wave of foreclosures like the last time.
The Foreclosure Volume Is Nothing Like It Was During the Crash
Another difference is the number of homeowners that were facing foreclosure after the housing bubble burst. Foreclosure activity has been lower since the crash, largely because buyers today are more qualified and less likely to default on their loans. The graph below uses data from ATTOM Data Solutions to help paint the picture of how different things are this time:
Not to mention, homeowners today have options they just didn’t have in the housing crisis when so many people owed more on their mortgages than their homes were worth. Today, many homeowners are equity rich. That equity comes, in large part, from the way home prices have appreciated over time. According to CoreLogic:
“The total average equity per borrower has now reached almost $300,000, the highest in the data series.”
Rick Sharga, Executive VP of Market Intelligence at ATTOM Data, explains the impact this has:
“Very few of the properties entering the foreclosure process have reverted to the lender at the end of the foreclosure. . . . We believe that this may be an indication that borrowers are leveraging their equity and selling their homes rather than risking the loss of their equity in a foreclosure auction.”
This goes to show homeowners are in a completely different position this time. For those facing challenges today, many have the option to use their equity to sell their house and avoid the foreclosure process.
Bottom Line
If you’re concerned, we’re making the same mistakes that led to the housing crash, the graphs above should help alleviate your fears. Concrete data and expert insights clearly show why this is nothing like the last time.
Getting to the Bottom of these Rollercoaster Rates

Let’s start with a graph:
Source: https://www.rate.com/mortgage-rates
This graph is almost exclusively peaks and valleys, no plateaus to be seen. Apologies if you strained your neck following along with all of the ups and downs.
So what are you looking at? This charts the average weekly mortgage rates for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage from the first week of June to the second week of September of 2022. Rates were averaging 5.09% at the beginning of the graph and were 5.98% on the far right side. And in the middle, we see a lot of volatility.
Introducing rollercoaster rates
Rates are also going up and down on a daily basis, too. According to Mortgage News Daily, in the first week of September, rates went up 0.24% one day, down 0.21% the next, then back up 0.23% before two days of drops.
You see why we’ve been calling them roller coaster rates, right? Let’s look at what’s causing them to bounce around so much.
There are many different economic factors that will ultimately affect the mortgage rate you’ll get quoted from a loan officer. A lot of them are specific to you and your personal finances, like credit score and debt-to-income ratio. But the factors that most affect mortgage rates nationally reflect the greater economy. And as you may have heard, the economy is going through a weird phase right now.
Here are the five main factors that are affecting the mortgage rates you’re seeing.
Federal Reserve’s monetary policy
One of the most important factors in our economy is the monetary policy set by the Federal Reserve Bank, commonly referred to as the Fed. Their federal funds rate is a tool that they have to move the economy in the direction they want it to go. The federal funds rate is what commercial banks use to lend and borrow from each other.
That rate is not the same as the mortgage rate, but they are often mentioned together because mortgage rates often mimic the changes in the Fed’s rates. The rate impacts the long-term outlook of the bond market, which is a driver of mortgage rates (and we’ll talk about that later).
When the Fed raises rates, mortgage rates usually follow that upward trajectory. The Fed has been setting the federal funds rate higher and higher lately, which is why the more general trend of mortgage rates over the last year has been going higher and higher as well, despite frequent dips.
Wondering why the Fed has been moving their rate up? For one purpose—to fight inflation, which is one of the Fed’s main missions and the next rate-affecting factor that we’ll discuss.
Inflation
Inflation measures the declining value of currency throughout a period of time. It shows how the prices of the things we buy tend to go up over time due to lowering supply and increasing demand. When inflation gets higher, the purchasing power of the dollar goes down, meaning it costs more to buy something today than it did yesterday.
If you’ve heard any economic news over the last year or so, you know that inflation has been a concern for some time. As of this writing, the inflation rate was 8.3% higher than a year ago, which is down 0.1% from the previous month and half a percentage point from June. The Fed’s goal is to keep the rate of inflation around 2%. This higher rate of inflation is reflected in higher prices at the gas pump, for groceries and many other areas of the economy.
Inflation affects mortgage rates because lenders want to make sure that the money they earn on the interest of the loan is enough to overcome inflation. As inflation has gone up, lenders have responded with higher mortgage rates.
Bond market
When explaining the federal funds rate, we mentioned that that rate affects the bond market, but we didn’t mention how much of a role the bond market plays on mortgage rates. The performance of the bond market has been said to be the closest corollary to what’s going on with mortgage rates, with the 10-year Treasury Bond yield, also known as the 10-year T-note, known to follow the closest.
That’s because banks and investment firms package groups of mortgages into investment products that are called mortgage-backed securities. You may have heard that term as a contributing factor to the housing crash of 2008-2009, but don’t worry, these products have much more stringent guidelines, removing some of the risk that caused that great downturn.
Institutions purchase these mortgage-backed securities because they are a fairly consistent source of income, which are known as yields. When the bond market in general is performing well, mortgage-backed securities must keep up with their yields, so that could drive mortgage rates higher.
The bond markets have not been performing well over the first half of 2022. This has spooked investors and helped pull mortgage rates back down, even though rates have trended upward throughout 2022.
How fast the economy is growing
The health of the overall economy obviously plays a huge factor in mortgage rates. It is measured in many ways, and some of the most reliable are gross domestic product (GDP) and the employment rate. When the economy is performing well, more and more people are finding jobs and getting paid more. This in turn leads to more spending money on things, including on new homes. When more people have money to spend on a mortgage, lenders can set their interest rates higher.
However, the economy is confusing experts right now. Employment has been positive for a few months now, with numbers surging past where they were at the start of the pandemic. But there are also worries about a recession coming, fueled in part by the high inflation we’ve been seeing. Mortgage rates usually come down during recessions.
Just as the economy has been confusing experts, it also seems to be confusing mortgage rates right now. These contradictory economic datapoints seem to play a large part in today’s rollercoaster nature of rates.
Conditions in the housing market
Chalk up this last major factor to that tried-and-true economic principle of supply and demand. When demand is low, mortgage rates come down to try to entice more people to buy a home.
However, unusual and unique factors have rippled across the housing market since before the pandemic, and they continue to shake out now. It all started with a lack of inventory of homes for sale, which was actually an issue from at least 2019. When there aren’t enough homes for sale, housing prices go up as buyers compete against each other by raising what they’re willing to offer.
When the pandemic started, there was concern that the economy would suffer, so the Fed responded by lowering their rates to zero. This brought mortgage rates down to historic lows, reaching an average of 2.65% in January of 2021. These low rates, coupled with the greater focus on living spaces forced upon everyone by new WFH policies, brought buyers into the market with a force hardly ever seen before.
Consequences of keeping rates low
Despite the increase in demand, the Fed decided to leave interest rates low in order to prop up the economy. This led to lower and lower supply, as buyers took advantage of low rates to keep snapping up whatever homes they could find. Home prices kept going up as well.
Then the Fed decided it needed to start putting upward pressure on rates by bringing interest back into their federal funds rate, which pushed mortgage rates up. But home prices stayed at the same level they were at when mortgage rates were low, in fact prices kept going up even as mortgage rates were going up.
This led to a huge affordability problem.
The effect of affordability
The average price of a home has gone up almost $60,000 in a year, from $382,600 for the second quarter of 2021 to $440,300 in the second quarter of this year. In that time, the average mortgage rate in the last week of June went from 3.02% in 2021 to 5.7% in 2022.
These numbers are intended just as an example, but let’s say you could put down 20% on that average priced home in 2021 and have the same dollar amount for a down payment this year. Just take a look at the difference in monthly costs for the same home, purchased at different times one year apart:
Year | Home Price | Mortgage Rate | Down Payment | PMI | Monthly Payment (including taxes, insurance, and PMI) |
June 2021 | $382,600 | 3.02% | $76,520 (20%) | $0 | $1,843 |
June 2022 | $440,300 | 5.7% | $76,520 (17.4%) | $198 | $2,829 |
This affordability issue, along with buyers frustrated by bidding wars and not finding a home they like due to the lack of options, has pushed potential buyers to the sidelines. Many are waiting for more favorable conditions before reentering the market. So, all of a sudden, demand is dropping, and that’s pushing lenders to tentatively lower rates to entice more buyers to get back into the market.
How these factors work together
To summarize, here are how those five economic factors are affecting the mortgage rates you’re seeing today:
Bringing rates up | Pulling rates down | Confusing rates |
Fed monetary policy | Bond market | Economic growth |
Inflation | Housing market conditions |
This push and pull effect likely accounts for much of the rollercoaster nature of mortgage rates. That’s why it’s best to keep an eye on rates, and be prepared to lock in a low rate the moment you see it.
Should You Still Buy a Home with the Latest News About Inflation?

While the Federal Reserve is working hard to bring down inflation, the latest data shows the inflation rate is still high, remaining around 8%. This news impacted the stock market and added fuel to the fire for conversations about a recession.
You’re likely feeling the impact in your day-to-day life as you watch the cost of goods and services climb. The pinch it’s creating on your wallet and the looming economic uncertainty may leave you wondering: “should I still buy a home right now?” If that question is top of mind for you, here’s what you need to know.
Homeownership Is Historically a Great Hedge Against Inflation
In an inflationary economy, prices rise across the board. Historically, homeownership is a great hedge against those rising costs because you can lock in what’s likely your largest monthly payment (your mortgage) for the duration of your loan. That helps stabilize some of your monthly expenses. James Royal, Senior Wealth Management Reporter at Bankrate, explains:
“A fixed-rate mortgage allows you to maintain the biggest portion of housing expenses at the same payment. Sure, property taxes will rise and other expenses may creep up, but your monthly housing payment remains the same.”
And with rents being as high as they are, the ability to stabilize your monthly payments and protect yourself from future rent hikes may be even more important. Lawrence Yun, Chief Economist at the National Association of Realtors (NAR), explains what happened to rents in the latest inflation report:
“Inflation refuses to budge. In September, consumer prices rose by 8.2%. Rents rose by 7.2%, the highest pace in 40 years.”
When you rent, your monthly payment is determined by your lease, which typically renews on an annual basis. With inflation high, your landlord may be more likely to increase your payments to offset the impact of inflation. That may be part of the reason why a survey from realtor.com shows 72% of landlords said they plan to raise the rent on one or more of their properties in the next year.
Becoming a homeowner, if you’re ready and able to do so, can provide lasting stability and a reliable shelter in times of economic uncertainty.
Bottom Line
The best hedge against inflation is a fixed housing cost. If you’re ready to learn more and start your journey to homeownership, connect with a real estate professional today.
Saving for a Down Payment? Here’s What You Should Know

As you set out to buy a home, saving for a down payment is likely top of mind. But you may still have questions about the process, including how much to save and where to start.
If that sounds like you, your down payment could be more in reach than you originally thought. Here’s why.
The 20% Down Payment Myth
If you believe you have to put 20% down on a home, you may have based your goal on a common misconception. Freddie Mac explains:
“. . . nearly a third of prospective homebuyers think they need a down payment of 20% or more to buy a home. This myth remains one of the largest perceived barriers to achieving homeownership.”
Unless it’s specified by your loan type or lender, it’s typically not required to put 20% down. According to the latest Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers from the National Association of Realtors (NAR), the median down payment hasn’t been over 20% since 2005. There are even loan types, like FHA loans, with down payments as low as 3.5%, as well as options like VA loans and USDA loans with no down payment requirements for qualified applicants.
This is good news for you because it means you could be closer to your homebuying dream than you realize. For more information, turn to a trusted lender.
Down Payment Assistance Programs Can Be a Game Changer
A professional will be able to show you other options that could help you get closer to your down payment goal. According to latest Homeownership Program Index from downpaymentresource.com, there are over 2,000 homebuyer assistance programs in the U.S., and the majority are intended to help with down payments.
A recent article explains why programs like these are helpful:
“These resources can immediately build your home buying power and help you take action sooner than you thought possible.”
And if you’re wondering if you have to be a first-time buyer to qualify for these programs, that’s not always the case. According to an article from downpaymentresource.com:
“It is a common misconception that homebuyer assistance is only available to first-time homebuyers, however, 38% of homebuyer assistance programs in Q1 2022 did not have a first-time homebuyer requirement.”
There are also location and profession-based programs you could qualify for as well.
Bottom Line
Saving for your down payment is an important first step on your homebuying journey. Connect with a local real estate advisor (like Rob Hurt!) and trusted lender today to begin exploring your options.
The Long Term Benefit of Home Ownership

Today’s cooling housing market, the rise in mortgage rates, and mounting economic concerns have some people questioning: should I still buy a home this year? While it’s true this year has unique challenges for homebuyers, it’s important to factor the long-term benefits of homeownership into your decision.
Consider this: if you know people who bought a home 5, 10, or even 30 years ago, you’re probably going to have a hard time finding someone who regrets their decision. Why is that? The reason is tied to how you gain equity and wealth as home values grow with time.
The National Association of Realtors (NAR) explains:
“Home equity gains are built up through price appreciation and by paying off the mortgage through principal payments.”
Here’s a look at how just the home price appreciation piece can really add up over the years.
Home Price Growth Over Time
Even though home price appreciation has moderated this year, home values have still increased significantly in recent years. The map below uses data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) to show just how noteworthy those gains have been over the last five years.
If you look at the percent change in home prices, you can see home prices grew on average by almost 64% nationwide over that period.
That means a home’s value can increase substantially in a short time. And if you expand that time frame even more, the benefit of homeownership and the drastic gains you stand to make become even clearer (see map below):
The second map shows, nationwide, home prices appreciated by an average of over 290% over roughly a thirty-year span.
While home price growth varies by state and local area, the nationwide average tells you the typical homeowner who bought a house thirty years ago saw their home almost triple in value over that time. This is why homeowners who bought their homes years ago are still happy with their decision.
Even if home price appreciation eases as the market cools this year, experts say home prices are still expected to appreciate nationally in 2023. That means, in most markets, your home should grow in value over the next year even if the pace is slower than it was during the peak market frenzy when prices skyrocketed.
The alternative to buying a home is renting, and rental prices have been climbing for decades. So why rent and fight annual lease hikes for no long-term financial benefit? Instead, consider buying a home. It’s an investment in your future that could set you up for long-term gains.
Bottom Line
Don’t let the shifting market delay your dreams. Data shows home values typically appreciate over time, and that gives your net worth a nice boost. If you’re ready to start your journey to homeownership, reach out to a real estate professional today.
Link to original post:
https://www.keepingcurrentmatters.com/2022/10/05/the-long-term-benefit-of-homeownership/